Bill Chamberlin at HorizonWatching has spotted a PDF of Gartner’s Top 10 Strategic Technologies for 2010, presented by analyst Andy Kyte in Sofia in October. Mr Kyte was there for a local executive briefing to celebrate the opening of a new Gartner office in Bulgaria. It appears that he also presented the talk to a professional gathering in the evening, from where it’s available online. At least, for now!
What’s most interesting is the wholesale change since last year’s list. There’s no item on the new list which appears identically on last year’s. Some changes are cosmetic; there are three items which transfer with new titles, such as Social Software and Social Networking which morphs into the simpler Social Computing.
Others involve reassembling last year’s list. For example, Virtualization (2009) feeds into three new items: Client Computing, Reshaping the Data Center, and Virtualization for Availability. And Cloud Computing (2010) adds Enterprise Mashups and Web-Oriented Architectures (2009) to last year’s definition of Cloud Computing.
This isn’t a list of emerging technologies, although some of the items on the list might be categorised thus. The criterion is the expectation of enterprise impact within the next three years. I’d certainly expect the list to change from year to year and no future impact assessment can guarantee accuracy. But I wonder, for example, whether Gartner think that Unified Communications (dropped this year) has achieved the impact predicted for it in 2008 and 2009, or whether they no longer expect it to do so? Maybe someone with access to the full report can tell us.
HorizonWatching’s a useful service. Well done, over there!
• Gartner: Top 10 Strategic Technologies for 2010, HorizonWatching, 24 Nov 2009
• Top 10 Strategic Technologies for 2010, Gartner presentation, Sofia, 27 Oct 2009, from the Bulgarian FMI Society IT Academy
• Gartner Executive Event – here for interest is the invitation to the main event on 27 Oct 2009 with the full agenda